Kana unoita dambudziko kuRussia: Zvaifungidzirwa

Mamiriro ezvinhu Russia ine kwete nenzira yakanakisisa. Pasinei takanga tisisanakidzwi, uye nzvimbo uye kuvandudza mamiriro, vaongorori uye nyanzvi ezvoupfumi kurega kuita nharo pamusoro nechokuita rinotevera sefungu dambudziko. Vanamuzvinabhizimisi uye vanhuwo zvavo vanogara netarisiro kuvandudza mamiriro ezvinhu uye nguva apo dambudziko kunoguma kuRussia. Maererano gurukota Economic Development Alekseya Ulyukaeva, mamiriro ezvinhu achava dzikamisa muna 2016. Anoti pane munhu kuramba tichishanda kudzikira achasvika akamirirwa kwenguva refu zvoupfumi kukura. Zvinosuruvarisa, pfungwa iyi vaiita hauzosvimhi Nyanzvi zvose vaitungamirira.

With chii Rinobatanidzwa Kudzikamiswa muRussia muna 2016?

Ulyukayev kushurudzira nedzimwe nyanzvi dzakati sei kugadzirisa dambudziko iri nyika kubudikidza 2016, ine yakananga noukama musika mafuta dzakawanda. Maererano rokutanga nokufungidzira, pakazopera 2015, Ruble vanofanira zvikuru kusimbisa nzvimbo yayo pakati yose vosimba mutengo chemafuta. Mitengo anofanira kuderedzwa kuti kukosha 2-2.5%. Kudzikamiswa inotarisirwa maererano vakaronga kuwedzera kudyiwa uye inivhesitimendi incentives. Panguva iyoyo, maererano Mushumiri, hurumende yeRussia kuri vanoshingaira matanho kukwezva yokumwe vanoita zviri mikuru mabasa ari Automotive indasitiri. Kana bhajeti dhefisiti muna 2015, vakazivisa nhamba anoenderana 2.3 tiririyoni rubles mu dzidziso. Kutaura zvazviri, zvose anotarira akasiyana, kuti, chaizvoizvo, anoisa netariro zvekungofungira yakadaro pasi kurwiswa.

"Dambudziko iri Russia inoguma" - Mashoko aya anowisira mubvunzo pamusoro ndechokuti bhajeti 2015 uye rokutanga bhajeti nepurani matatu akatevera wakaradzikwa pasi mutengo mafuta pa $ 90 chete dhiramu. Nhasi, mutengo huni haangambozvipembedzi asvika pachiyero 55 emadhora. Kushaya mari iri pachena, saka, uye kwegore matatu bhajeti dhefisiti uchawedzera kuita nokukurumidza malovozmozhnym tikurire dambudziko.

Vimba maonero ari mamiriro ezvinhu

Kana unoita dambudziko kuRussia, upfumi akatanga kuona kuwedzera. Zvinogara rave, nokuti nematambudziko tine zvinosuwisa, zvakajairika. Kunatsiridzwa vari akafunga munenge munyika dzose maindasitiri, vagari kusimudza mararamire avo. Asi zvinondiremera mangwanani nhasi. Unonyanya netariro Zvaifungidzirwa, zvinokosha kuziva vaya vanoti kuti hazvibviri kudzivisa zvisisina kumira munzira ine simba raitonga zvoupfumi. Dambudziko - akurumidze budiriro kukura Precursors. Ndivo nzira kusanzwisisana. Rezasi inowira imwe nyika, zvinobatsira chaizvo richaramba richibudirira.

Muenzaniso 2008

Muna 2015, zvinhu kuenda haina kufanana zvakanga muna 1998. Pashure kukurumidza kuwa Ruble muna 1998 zvinhu yokumwe vave achishingaira ne zvibereko mumhuri kugadzirwa. Zvinonzi chete kwakamutsa womukati kukura ehurumende. Industrial epamba kurimwa kwabva mberi kuitira kuti Zvisaririra Zvezvakaitika kugonesa kwezvakatipoteredza aiva kushanda muna 2000. Nhasi, pasinei kuwa Ruble, zvipfuwo bhizimisi uye kugadzirwa haisi kusashanda. Uye iwe unogona kuchengeta zvachose zvakasiyana mamiriro ezvinhu, pachinzvimbo vachisimudza. Hurumende haina kutora vanoshingaira matanho kubvisa ezvinhu kuti zvaitika zvinoratidza chii kutarisira munguva yemberi iri pedyo Transitional nguva, kuguma dambudziko kuRussia uye mambakwedza kunotanga, hazvina zviripo.

Russia nhasi. Chii kutarisira?

Ndichitarisa Russia nhasi, mumwe anogona cherechedzai zvakajeka hukuru zvinoumba dambudziko:

• The unopinza Kuderera mune maindasitiri kugadzirwa.
• kuderedza of Ruble.
• Matambudziko ari rwezvemabhengi indasitiri.

Kubva izvi anotevera kuti kutaura, kana tichasimbiswawo zvoupfumi kuRussia, zvinondiremera mangwanani. Hapana anopa chero zvinovimbisa kuti matambudziko murege kupararira kune dzimwe sectors. Vanhu vazhinji rinobatanidza kuparara upfumi chete zvimwewo zvinoitika, kunyange chokwadi, maindasitiri kugadzirwa Achiri nokurasa tichimhanya muna 2012. Rakanga panguva iyi, Bazi Economic Development rinosanganisira zvitatu nokuda kukura kwohumwe zviitiko kusvikira 2030. Muna 2015, mumwe anogona kuchengeta Implementation kupfuura kunaka kuzvipedza. Mazuvaano of Russian Federation asina kutora nzvimbo, chete injini okukura ndiwo kukura uye kutengeswa simba, vachiwana kuderera GDP, kuti napedyo kuti kudzikira. An dzinonakidza ndechokuti ezvinhu hurumende kuuya aizivikanwa 2013, apo, pasina kushambadza, akatora chechitatu kunaka musiyano pakati kukura National upfumi.

Ndezvipi zviyero ane hurumende uye sei zvinobatsira mune dambudziko?

Shoma nyanzvi anoendeswa kupindura chaiyo kana dambudziko kuRussia. The zvakawanda saka nokuti preconditions nokuda kwayo chitarisiko kwakanga kwatova chaizvo kwenguva refu. Saka, hurumende ine muna 2013 vakatanga kushingaira kudzokorora marezinesi ose nemabhengi zvikwereti masangano. Chisarudzo pakazopera 2014, pashure kuparadzira mashoko nezvake, zvakakonzera unopinza water drainage kuti guta. Vanhu achishingaira akatanga kurega deposits dzavo, kuti chete yakawedzera yacho uye kwakaita kuti kusauka mari masangano akawanda.

Dambudziko uye zvirango

Pashure 2014 zvirango vakanga zvinowedzerwa ezvinhu. A kontrsanktsii pedyo Russian Federation uye kuwa mumafuta mitengo iri pamisika nyika iri rishaye zvinenge chose kuedza kudzorera upfumi munyika. Oga, unogona kutaura pamusoro zvirango zvakakonzera dzakakwirira mitengo mishonga. Business yava kukwanisa kushanda pasina varikumahombekombe, izvo zvakazoita kuwedzera mitengo pamwero hapana vachisimudza nokuda paavhareji mugari wenyika yacho. Kuderedza kudiwa zvakaita kuti kuvhara akaitwa. Tandem kwokunze uye munyika zvinhu zvakakonzera zvinoderedza mubhizimisi basa uye zvinoderedza kudiwa muzvikamu zvose. Sei uye rini dambudziko muRussia zvakare mangwanani kutaura, nokuti kupora ichatanga pamwe rokurera mararamiro evanhu.

Kuti vazivi venyeredzi vanoti?

Not arega kukamura uchishandisa nyaya matambudziko uye anozivikanwa venyeredzi. Pavel Globa kukurudzira vanhu varege kutya default muna 2015. Pasinei nezvavanosangana Zvaifungidzirwa, nyeredzi nezvezvakanaka ndechokuti kweeuro haangazorori anopfuura 100 rubles, uye zvachose kubviswa mamiriro kuchaitika muna 2017. Other clairvoyants kwete kupa mhinduro yomubvunzo wokuti kana dambudziko kuRussia. zvakafanotaurwa Most anoratidza zvakanaka mugumisiro hurumende uye vanoshorwa kuna America uye Ukraine, uyewo kana chido chokwadi, hakuna munhu anoziva.

Izvo zvakazoita kuti dambudziko?

Kutaura kana dambudziko iri pamusoro kuRussia, zvinondiremera mangwanani. Kuti izvi zviitike, zvinodikanwa tiite kubviswa zvinokonzera dambudziko. Izvi uchava danho rekutanga nokugara wehurumende. Vakawanda vanovimba zvirango ne America uye Europe, kunyange chokwadi ichi uye haana kuva hune simba pamusoro ezvinhu. Iye chete akaisa inokanganisa mamiriro pamusika zvoupfumi. Rutapudzo vasiri mugari mubhizimisi iri kugadzira zvekutepfenyura akarwarisa ari makwikwi zvezvipfuwo zvigadzirwa mumusika dzakawanda. The inflow kuti guta hakurevi kusimuka kusvikira nyika iri kuderera. Complete kuvimba hazvo dzokutengeserana kunge akazunungusa upfumi nokuda kuwa munyika mitengo mafuta, kudzorerwa izvo kune yapfuura padanho kusvikira hapana uchapupu. Kuwa Ruble kuti neyakaoma ayo historiallinen uye yakafanana vachisimudza CBR mubereko prices kwaita kuti matambudziko yevagari. Akawedzera huni moto kunetsana pakati Russia neUkraine. Hapana zvinokonzera dambudziko Panguva iyi pave Russia hazvigoni zvachose zvachose, izvo zvinopa zvakakomba chikonzero kutonga refu nguva kuguma dambudziko pamberi.

Chii chinoitika chinotevera?

Development kana kuderera mune zvoupfumi dambudziko kuRussia anotomirira kungobva zvirango itsva, uko kunogona kuita kuti kutadza pamusoro bhizimisi ravo kune dzimwe guta. Insulation mamiriro hazvingadziviswi. Zvaizobuda zviitiko vachava kuoneka pamugumo March 2015, uye kusvikira mamiriro acho ezvinhu kunofambira mberi, uye vanamuzvinabhizimisi kutarisa kuti itsva nzira kukura. Hazvina kutarisirwa kuchinja mamiriro ezvinhu munyika pamusika mafuta. Nokuda kunobatsira kukosha mafuta ari $ 55, zvakanaka kuchinja zvinogona kutarisirwa. Kusavapo yokutsigira hurumende basa kwakakwana rine basa kure nani. Kana tikaenzanisa zvinhu pamwe 2008, kufanana anogona kuonekwa bedzi conjuncture kuti musika mafuta mitengo. Mune zvimwe zvose pane misiyano, kunyanya munzvimbo dziri kusangana kuderera zvivako, rwezvemabhengi uye kugadzirwa chidimbu. Nepo zvirango vari yakakura, uye misika mafuta kurega kunotanga, zvakare mangwanani kutaura kana dambudziko iri pamusoro muRussia. Maberere uine tinge vanoti pamusoro kukura mune IT, foni uye Pharmaceuticals. Akapiwa chikamu muzana duku uyo kugara zvikamu izvi hwenyika, kuvandudzika pose kusvikira wokupedzisira pasigasvikirwi.

Zvikuru tariro kushurudzira

Pakati vakawandisa maberere uye vane yakaipisisa kuitika nokuda kukura zviitiko munyika. Pane mukana kuti pakazopera 2015, vakawanda mari masangano wenyika, kusanganisira achiumba mari ichaita, anongoti enda kusauka. Izvi zvichaitika nokuda kukura dhora kusvikira pachiyero 80 rubles. Mutengo mafuta anodonhedza kuti $ 40 mudhiramu. Financial zvachinja GDP yakasvika 10% muna dzvuku. The Central Bank vachamanikidzwa kumutsa mubereko prices kubva 17% kusvika 37%. Somugumisiro, nyika icharamba vanokweretesawo Russia, izvo zvingaita pokuwa zvachose mamiriro mari ichaita. Izvi kunyange kubvumira kuti kufunga kana dambudziko ichaguma mu Russia. Nokufembera, kunyange zvakanaka, handishanduki chinhu.

Gore rakapera, Russia akachengeta GDP kukura pa 0.5%. Mufananidzo 4% muna 2015 anonzwisisa, asi kana tikaenzanisa pamwe remangwana mafuta donhwe, kuti tariro for haana sokuti munhu hanzi yakadaro.

Zvose zvinoenderana hurumende

Mumamiriro ezvinhu ano, chete hurumende yeRussia anokwanisa kuona kana kuti agumise dambudziko kuRussia. Zvaifungidzirwa hazvibatsiri, sezvo volatility zvinhu vagara vandifungira utungamiriri munyika. Somuenzaniso, kana ari Central Bank achaita kudzikisa chiero chimbadzo, kuti ndechokungoti sezvazviri, izvozvo achaita kumusoro mitengo. Panyaya iyi, kuti chikwereti musika achagara asina kumbokuvadzwa. The kuderera GDP achakwanisa kuramba mumamiriro 4%. Nomazvo utariri mhinduro vachakwanisa kutungamirira nyika kubva dambudziko chete kana mutengo mafuta achamuka 60 madhora. Mumakore 2-3 zvichiita kudzikamisa zvinhu, akapa kuti mari iri mumhuri zvoupfumi haidereri pane 3 tiririyoni rubles. Ko zvipfuwo kutora danho iri hurumende, hakuna munhu anogona kutaura.

Kana dambudziko rava pamusoro: Russia rinorambidza dambudziko maitiro

Nyanzvi dziri kurerekera kune kwakapararira Anti-dambudziko wokuti hurumende. Somuenzaniso, unorema mari dzisangopfuma iri dzinounzwa kumabhengi kuti kukweretesa zvebhizimisi, izvo, maererano Hurumende, vanofanira kumisa mudzimba kugadzirwa nhumbi. By nzeve chete yokuti pasi 30% chikwereti kune munhu asina kudiwa, uye mari inoshandiswa icharamba hazvina kutorwa nehama dzazvo panguva ino mwero. Banks pokuziva nechiyero, Redirect mari mari exchanges kuti zvakaoma, izvo chete inowedzera kukura mwero uye Zvinoipisisa mamiriro ezvinhu. Zvinouraya basa reDare mafuta nedoro hwenyika usingabereki kunyange kufunga nguva nguva apo dambudziko kunoguma kuRussia. The musika nyika richachinja, izvo huchachinja mamiriro National upfumi. Kana kushandisa kurarama nezvinetso, chokwadi ichi pashure nguva uchapisika inotokonya chidzoke itsva sefungu matambudziko.