Chii achaita kuwedzera dhora? Dhora kukura: nemigumisiro

Kubvira pakupera August 2014, mari akatanga zvishoma nezvishoma vawane tichimhanya. Parallel kudzikisa kukosha mafuta hwakanyorwa. Panguva iyoyo, hapana munhu aigona fembera chii vachamuka dhora, rave panoonekwa pamusika sezvichakurukurwa pullback. Social mhirizhonga rakatanga kukura apo mutengo chati vakatanga nokukurumidza kupinda kuburikidza azvipire pashure chechetere. Fani iyi inogona kuchengetwa kubva kumugumo August. Zvinotora nzvimbo nhasi. The dhora akasimuka zvinoshamisa pamusoro mari zvose vataurwa pamusoro pamusika. The mureza ezvinhu kwakasimbiswa nhasi, aigona kunzi nokuumbwa nenhongonya mutsva Dow Jones uye S & P 500. vaongorori vakawanda kubva pakutanga September, akayambira kuti US mari Arikugadzirira vanoshamiswa kuti vatengesi fundamentalist.

Sezvo dhora kwakaitwa upenyu muRussia?

Kuwedzera kukosha US mari, izvo vaiona kupfuura mvura chinokosha munyika, akaita avasakadza emari ose nyika munyika. Kunyanya zvakajeka akaratidza dhora kukura muRussia. Kwira mamiriro ezvinhu kuwa muna mitengo mafuta. Kufara pakati vagari chokuita pokuwa Ruble hakuna rinotsigirwa nehurumende masangano kwenguva refu. chikanganiso hurumende yakanga kuti akavimba hondo musika kuzvipira yokudzora. Kukura wokumwe mari, izvo kare kwemwedzi mishanu akauya spurts, zvakaita kuti akurumidze kuwedzera mutengo zvokudya uye nezvinetso mubhizimisi. Zvisinei, ichi ndicho chete muromo iceberg. Panguva mamiriro pamwero, ikure dhora rashanduka chinodiwa kuti water drainage kuti guta kubva kuRussia, kuti zvinoderedza bhuku kupinzwa kuna GDP kuderera kuti kukosha 0,8%. Achirwiswa vaiva maduku uye svikiro kadikidiki emakambani, asiwo Makambani makuru, ane mabasa makaguta Russian bhajeti kwete chete. Achifumira Dhora, akawira mafuta, ari Ruble choutsi uye kuderedza mari gasi kwakaita kuti vanyatsodzidziswa withering yeRussian upfumi. Nechinguvana dambudziko Central Bank akamutsa kufarira rates, dzakamanikidza hurumende kutora matanho anoverengeka shure muna kukura.

Zvichiratidza kuti dhora mwero Bank for International misha?

Mubvunzo chii zvichaitawo dhora, kunetseka kwete chete Russia asi yose. Bank nokuti International namagariro - mumwe masangano mari yokutanga yenyika, iro rakatanga achiyambirawo pamusoro mamiriro ezvinhu. Maererano bis, US mari kukura kungaita kuti dambudziko iri upfumi munyika dzakawanda. Pfungwa kusimbisa mumwe chikuru dzeEurope zvenyika kunokonzeresa zvinotungamirira destabilization zvinhu pamusoro zvose misika wemari. Concerns rondedzera zvikurukuru chokwadi kuti Makambani makuru, iyo inoitwa pachishandiswa emari kunyika nyika, kunyanya anoshanda maererano zvikwereti zviri dhora mazwi. Kuripwa mari achafanira kuita chete mari sezvo kuti chaiko mukufamba muviri matambudziko chaizvo uye dzimwe nguva hazviiti. Crisis zvakafanana nezvakaitika muna Russia, kunogona kubata zvakawanda munyika.

debentures

A dhora ane simba vava chinhu harbinger dambudziko nokuda kusimukira. Achatonga kuwedzera mari chii vachatitaka, zvinova zvinoita chete pashure kupanana ichava nenguva yakanaka itsva.

Pakangotanga dhora anotanga kusimbisa, hurumende dzenyika, izvo kuva achishingaira, vari kutanga nokukurumidza kusunungura US mari pamusoro yayo pane tirasikirwe chose pachavo nechitarisiko mari uye kusimbisa reserves ari nechepakati mabhanga. Zvisinei, mabhizimisi munyika dzichiri kusimukira mumakore mashoma apfuura yekudyidzana kwakawedzera chikwereti nyaya, uye riri US zvemadhora. Anokwereta kunge kusunungurwa kufambidzana, kuchengetedzeka munokosha anenge 2,6 tiririyoni madhora (3/4 mavhoriyamu vari denominated muna US madhora). zvikwereti Cross-muganhu ukasvika inenge $ 4 tiririyoni. Kana chikuru dzakawanda mari anotanga kuvira uye icharamba guta, chikwereti mutoro makambani akawanda munyika nyore unsupportable. Mamiriro acho ezvinhu achava achiipa kana kufarira prices muna US akatambanudza zvarakanga mamiriro. Uye zvose zviri pairi uye anoenda. Policy pamusoro quantitative easing yakapera, uye United States mumaoko anenge makadhi ose.

Achifumira Dhora: rakanaka United States - zviri zvakaipa kuti upfumi dzimwe nyika

Nepo dhora inoramba ichiwedzera, uye zvoupfumi US anokura, kune dzimwe nyika dzepasi vaiva kure yakanakisisa. Somuenzaniso, muJapan, kunenge kudzikira anotonga. Pedyo dambudziko, dzakawanda dzeEU. Yakanga iri munharaunda dzavo ECB ari kuedza nesimba kuti umutsidzire ezvinhu kubudikidza Implementation purogiramu dzakawanda rubatsiro. Paiva kunyange mashoko kubva hurumende kuti mumwedzi kuuya, vakaronga guta purogiramu quantitative easing. Ita nokufanotaurirwa yeramangwana haisati muongorori mumwe asina kutorwa. Maererano rokutanga nokufungidzira, mamiriro ezvinhu mune ramangwana richange zvakafanana. The yekutanga uchaona zviri pedyo kutsime, apo ECB achaita pamutemo kuzivisa kuvandudzika zvoupfumi zviratidzi chokuita basa rinoitwa.

No vimba kutarisira

Munguva yemberi iri pedyo, hapana chakanaka hazvina kukodzera tichimirira mamiriro ezvinhu, kunyanya kupiwa kuramba ikure dhora mberi. Migumisiro hakugumiri kuwedzera kudiwa mari uye nokushaiwa yaro munyika dzakawanda munyika. Tinofanira kutarisira water drainage kuti guta kubva ehurumende bhajeti. Large Makambani-chikwereti achaedza kubhadhara zvikwereti, zvakare kukwereta mari panguva soro mubereko prices. Mukuedza mudzorere paakapiwa mari uye kuti vanenge shoma mari, ivo achasuma mutemo mutengo kwidza kwenhumbi uye mabasa. Kunetseka mari yebhizimisi achava tichiregeredza ari kushanda vashandi prices. Vanhu vanova sauka. Zvachinja denderedzwa utsinye umo goho chisingaoneki. Sei zvichaita kuwedzera mari, mashoko hapana kutsanangura, asi kuti mamiriro ezvinhu chokuita wose - ichokwadi. Vachirwiswa pakutanga achava hwaani mutemo nechinangwa kushingaira kukura.

Kudzoka dhora kunyange chetatu daro vakafamba - ichi ndiyo netariro, asi hazvisi noitika Panguva ino kushurudzira.

Zvinoita kugadzirisa mamiriro ezvinhu?

Kuti agadzirise zvinhu munyika, zviri matambudziko chaizvo, ukuwo mari kuramba huchikwira. Consequences sezvo kuenderera mamiriro zvichabviswa yakawedzera. Chinhu bedzi zvimwe anogona kuwedzera chiitiko - ndiyo kwemitengo mafuta kanenge kusvikira nangananga $ 100 paminiti dhiramu. Nepo US ave achishingaira migodhi chinotsva, uye kuti weOPEC nyika havabvumirani kuderedza vhoriyamu wenhumbi mafuta kumusika dzakawanda, hapana zvichachinja. Current musoro wehurumende anogona chete zvishoma kuti iti chechetere dambudziko, uye haisi zvinokosha kuti zviite upenyu vagari mudzimai zvoupfumi chechetere.

Ezvinhu ndambodzidza rakatya kufunga, nhasi kuongwa. Uye vose mhosva Mare dhora. Maberere iri rinoita chinhu America kwakaita pavapenyu kare kubvumira kuti adzivise mamiriro ezvinhu umo kosi kuchaita anoenderana rubles 200 paminiti 1 US dhora. Kusvikira kukosha currency kutamira nechivimbo kuti chiratidzo 100 rubles mumwe dhora, uye nzanga anoona mamiriro ezvinhu chataiva. Kunzwisisa kuti America yaro kubudirira kubudirira, kunyanya, kushingaira kuwedzera zvikuru zveupfumi zviratidzi kwaita kuti pose mwoyo, hazvina haachinji chinhu. Uye chii vachatitaka kuwedzera mari pakupedzisira - chinhu chakavanzika.