Chii chinoitika kuti dhora? Chii chichaitika mune ramangwana - kukura kana kudhirika?

misika Currency handiregi kuputsa pamaberere yakataurwa vaongorori pose. Hapana nyanzvi havakwanisi kupindura mubvunzo chii chinoitika kune dhora zvakajeka. Órgãos kosi kuti mumwe chikuru Currency maviri - EUR / USD - ndiko saka ita mhirizhonga kuti hazvisi chete refu-refu asiwo pfupi Zvaifungidzirwa vakarasikirwa zvinoreva zvose. A kuwanda zviitiko zvinokosha, zvakadai pangozi default kweItaly uye Spain, kuwa America ratings, vanoita vari kuvhiringidzika. Ndivo zvakaoma kuona izvo zvinokonzera hwenyika vachava mukuru nezvainoita pamusika. zviitiko layering anoita rakarurama Zvaifungidzirwa iri rinenge shamisa. Zvisinei, tikafunga kuitika munyika, tinogona kuswedera zvimwe mhedziso.

Sezvo America iri Positioning pachayo?

America akarega kuva injini hwenyika kamwe zvakare uye ndanogara chikamu tsime matambudziko. Panguva iyoyowo vanoita handiregi tichida kuziva dhora uye Treasury zvisungo, iyo ichangobva kwangoderera ari kuera. Pasinei nemamiriro ezvinhu akaoma muUnited States uye aro akakura wokumwe chikwereti, mubereko uye kudiwa mari inoumbwa nevanhu chinhu. Chero nhau, chero chiitiko mutobvu kuti nyonganyonga uye kutya pamusoro Stock Exchange uye kukosha dhora anotanga kukura toreva nechimwe mari munyika. It inoita basa rinokosha iyi muUnited States ine simba chinzvimbo mumusika mafuta.

Zvinotaurwa ECB unotora?

The European Central Bank mwedzi mishoma yapfuura vaiita tightening usapinde negwaro. Zvino pane imwe dzoro zviitiko, yaiitisa quantitative easing. Kana tikafunga kuti Fed inozivikanwa se munyoro uye mutemo nezviito zviremera kwakaita kuti unopinza kuwedzera kweeuro pachinhu dzaita romugove emadhora. Izvi zvinhu kusvika pamwero rinotsanangura nei paine kuwedzera mari. negwaro Izvi zvemaziso uye haana nechirevo inokosha. Panyaya iyi, zvakaitika makore apfuura kunoratidza zvakajeka kunge kuitika kuti zvimwe zviitiko. Muchirimo 2011, pamwe Kushatiswa ezvinhu munharaunda yacho peripheral nyika uye mutemo quantitative easing iri US, pamwe kushaya kuti liquidity kubva upfumi ECB kwakaitika richisimuka kweeuro pamusoro dhora. Kushaya ane inonzwisisika wezwi hakutadzisi yakakwirira mukana kwakaderera kweeuro pamusoro dhora.

Chii chiri kuitika pamwe upfumi?

Kuti tinzwisise zviri kuitika pamwe dhora uye nei iye vachishingaira kukura pachinhu vose mari zvenyika, tinofanira kutarira zvoupfumi mamiriro ezvinhu munyika. Mumakore achangopfuura, kumusoro 4 Central Bank wenyika vakaita okuti vatangisa kutevera mutemo quantitative easing. SNB wakatanga kutapudza mubereko prices kuti razero nechipi, akabva kupindira pamusoro Franc. The ECB vakatanga wechipiri vanoshingaira kutenga hurumende zvisungo Spain uye Italy pamusoro pamusika rakashama. The Bank of Japan ave achishingaira kutengesa Yen pamusoro pamusika rakashama. Federal Reserve of America akaita okuti US mubereko prices pa razero ichaitwa kwamamwe makore maviri. Somugumisiro, Yakaumbwa mutsva sefungu quantitative easing.

The chikuru mirayiridzo kugadzirisa matambudziko uye nokusimuka dhora

The nechepakati pemahombekombe vaikudzwa nyika zvenyika zvisina kunanga, kuburikidza nezviito zvavo vataura kuti ukure mune upfumi akasimba nyika munyika ichakurumidza rakapotsa vasipo. High fungidziro yakaipa zviratidzo. matambudziko muronga chokuita yakakwirira kwevari zvinodyiwa uye zvikwereti guru, hurumende havasati zvabviswa. Naizvozvo, chokwadi, kubva zvinhu asati awanikwa. Chinetso ndechokuti, kubudikidza uye yakakura, anogona chete kugadziriswa nenzira mbiri:

• Deflation nzira. Layoffs, defaults, kuwedzera mari rates, mutero kunowedzera uye zvichingodaro.
• Mitengo nzira. Spike pamusoro mari pamusika (kuburikidza ayo mamwe kudhinda) mamwe kudzikisa ukoshi zvikwereti uye mari. Zviri serimwe prerequisites kuti rinotsanangura zviri kuitika chete dhora.

nyika World kunge kushingaira akashandisa inflationary nzira matambudziko. Izvi zvinotungamirira nokuwedzera uwandu Euro Yen uye dhora wechiGeorgian. Panyaya iyi, uwandu yesangano, zvakadai mafuta uye zvokudya zvinogadzirwa vakasara nenguva chechetere. Setsikawo zvemaziso zvebasa mari yose dzowokwake vachamuka anenge, uye upfumi achapiwa dzinoratidzwa simba kukura. Kufungisisa chinhu kuti dhora ndiye dura mari, zviri pachena kuti kuchawedzera. Uchifunga mubvunzo chii chinoitika kune dhora, tinogona kutaura kuti mamiriro ano - hapana kupfuura kupangidza mamiriro upfumi hwenyika.

Kaienda kukura dhora kuRussia: zvomene zvikonzero

Vakawanda penyanzvi chokuita basa ikure dhora kuwa muna mitengo mafuta. Izvi zvakajeka nezvakaitika kuderedza of Ruble kare gore. Kana pakutanga kwegore racho dhora Gengi hwaienzanirana 35-37 rubles, nhasi nhamba yakatotanga vakayambuka chiratidzo 60 rubles. Kumbomira uye kuchinja zviri kuitikawo hazvina kuchengetwa. Kuwedzera Pricing Mutemo misika mafuta, kukura dhora kuzorwa Ruble kuwa zvakakanganisa upfumi zvose Russia uye Ukraine, uyewo nokuiswa zvikuru zvirango pamusoro Russian Federation kubva West.

The simba womunhu chinhu pamusoro nezvokukura dhora

Vanoita akanyatsoramba kushandisa mari dzavo munyika ine shaky ezvoupfumi ezvinhu. Kugadziridzwa kwakaitwa uye zvirango izvo vaitaura pamusoro. A mupiro mukuru kuti paumbwe mamiriro akaita mudzimba oligarchs wakange vakafunga mamiriro ezvinhu munyika uye nyika, nokukurumidza akaenda mari dzavo kunze Russia. Vamwe vanhu vachiedza kuchengetedza mari dzavo vakatanga kutenga yokumwe mari, izvo zvakakonzera Kuwedzera kwayo. Kuderedza mari kufarira uye zvimwe zvinhu zvakawanda kuti tikwanise kupindura mubvunzo kuitika pamwe dhora.

Central Bank chiito - imwe asingatsananguriki chaiyo

The kumanikidzwa National mari yeRussia zvikuru yakawedzera pashure kwemamiriro misangano weOPEC. Kuwedzera oiri haisi aronga kurega. Nokuti Ruble muchiitiko ichi chete anopikira kuwa National mari. Zvaifungidzirwa nyanzvi 'vari Zvinogumbura, sezvo hurumende regulator yabviswa zvinenge chose kubva basa nokuda Ruble. The National mari vakapinda vakasununguka-kushambira. Maererano nenyanzvi, zviito zvakadaro Manyorerwo anokwanisa kuuya zvinotarisirwa zvabuda, chidimbu Kudzikamiswa kosi, asi chete avo munyika umo vakawanda kupinzwa zvinobva maindasitiri nemauto, uye upfumi akatsiga. upfumi Russia harisi kuwirirana pakati zvokusarudza, saka, hapana pavakanzwa pakunyunyuta haana kuitika, zvikuru kudaro, mamiriro ezvinhu anenge chete hwakawedzera kuderera.

Chii kwakaguma unopinza kuchinja Gengi?

Kutarisa ezvinhu uye achiteerera chii chinoitika dhora parinobuda, zvinogona kunzi pamusoro kusembura matambudziko ari vemo. The pamwero mubayiro wapera, kuomera kuwana basa, uye vamiririri diki uye svikiro kadikidiki mabhizimisi vanomanikidzwa curtail mabasa avo. Not kuteerera uye kukundikana States kuzadzikisa yavo mumagariro mitoro, zvinoderedza evanhu kubatsira zvirongwa rakapinza kuwedzera mutengo kwenhumbi dzose uye mabasa. Kuderedza hazvirevi kuserera, uye hurumende haatori chero zvinoshingaira matanho. Kana chido pokuwa dhora? Kana mamiriro ezvinhu nechokumusoro? Hapana vaongorori uye vamwe vasingagoni kutaura. Saka sezvo bedzi nzvimbo zvinogadzirisa funga zvinhu musangano.

Chii vaongorori vanoti?

Musi mubvunzo chii chinoitika kune dhora muna 2014 yaisagona achamunzwa. Zvinhu zviri kuchinja nokukurumidza zvokuti nyanzvi dzakanga zvakaoma arambe nayo. Muna 2015 iri kuitika mberi. Muchiitiko chino, hapana vaitungamirira vaongorori kutora kuti zvaizoitika uye kujekesa zvinhu. Rinogona kutungamirirwa chete hurukuro hurumende uye zvoupfumi yeChina. Pasina kufungisisa chokwadi kuti vanhu vari vakavhunduka nezviri kuitika kana dhora parinobuda, zvinotevera mashoko zvakaitwa. Jakob chirwere (mupfungwa!), Hurumende The Russian iri nechekare vachigadzirira dhora pachiyero $ 100 uye kupfuura. Kare, nhamba idzi sokuti shamisa, nhasi vari sechinoitika ingangodaro. Kana Hryvnia, nyanzvi dzakawanda chiwanzo chokudavira kuti mwero vanofanira dzikamisa pa 20-25 Hryvnia, akapiwa chokwadi kuti kutengesa pamusoro interbank pamusika yakaguma sekurukurirano 29 kutengeswa uye kutenga 32 Hryvnia. Pane nezvakafanotaurwa kuti vanoti kosi achakurumidza kusvika kukosha 70-80 Hryvnia pa dhora. A mhinduro yakajeka kuti mubvunzo, chii chinoitika dhora, hapana anogona, chaizvoizvo, sezvo kupa for kwaro kufamba. Nepo tinogona chete kumirira toona zvinoitika.

Ndiani anokunda iri kosi?

Kudzidza mubvunzo chii chinoitika kana dhora anova anodhura, kuchitaura kuti zvinhu haisi zvachose kunaka. Pane chikamu vanhu vanogamuchira mari kubva unopinza mari kukura. Izvi zvinogona kunzi nevaichinja uye vatengesi. Vachikorovhera Exchange pamusoro muchikwata ichi vanhu vanonzwa zvakanaka chaizvo. Kudzidza simba zviri kuitika pamwe dhora, currency musika nyanzvi havana chete kuva nematambudziko zvinhu nemashoko, sezvo chikamu chikuru vemo. Vari kubviswa ezvinhu unotiranga runovabvumira kuti mari uye achabudirira. On anomalous pose zveupfumi rakadai rinogona zvikuru zvinobudirira yemwoyo.